{"id":2987,"date":"2024-05-31T13:41:27","date_gmt":"2024-05-31T10:41:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/?p=2987"},"modified":"2024-05-31T13:41:27","modified_gmt":"2024-05-31T10:41:27","slug":"deprem-bilimci-prof-dr-ercan-10-yil-icinde-balikesirde-yikici-deprem-sasirtmaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/31\/deprem-bilimci-prof-dr-ercan-10-yil-icinde-balikesirde-yikici-deprem-sasirtmaz\/","title":{"rendered":"Deprem Bilimci Prof. Dr. Ercan: &#8220;10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 deprem \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmaz&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bal\u0131kesir B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen Bal\u0131kesir D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm Kongresi&#8217;nde konu\u015fan Deprem Bilimci Prof. Dr. \u00d6vg\u00fcn Ahmet Ercan, &#8220;10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 deprem \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmaz&#8221; dedi.<br \/>\nProf. Dr. Ahmet Ercan, Bal\u0131kesir \u00f6zelinde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 aktard\u0131. Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 e\u015fi\u011fin 6.2 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen Ercan, &#8220;Kuzey Anadolu k\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n biz genellikle Marmara&#8217;n\u0131n g\u00fcneyinden gitti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrd\u00fck. Oysa bir kol Manyas&#8217;\u0131n bulundu\u011fu yerden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Tam Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in \u00fczerinden. Oradan Akhisar, oradan Manisa, Manisa \u00fczerinden Turgutlu, Turgutlu \u00fczerinden Torbal\u0131, oradan tuzla k\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu yerden Ege ve Sisam&#8217;a gidiyor. Oradan uzan\u0131yor. Bu Kuzey Anadolu k\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yeni ke\u015ffedilen en g\u00fcney koludur, en g\u00fcney koldur. Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 deprem i\u00e7in e\u015fit de\u011fer 6.2. Yani 6.2 ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck her deprem Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in yap\u0131 bi\u00e7imine bakarak yap\u0131larda y\u0131k\u0131m yapar. En s\u0131k deprem Erdek Band\u0131rma aras\u0131nda Kap\u0131da\u011f\u0131 Yar\u0131madas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcc\u00fc \u015fekilde olan k\u0131r\u0131kta \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareket var. Erdek, Biga, \u00c7an&#8217;da burada 7.2 deprem beklenir. Bursa Ulubat, Manyas, G\u00f6nen, Yenice, Edremit Koyu, Alt\u0131noluk&#8217;ta 6.2 ile 7.3 aras\u0131nda bir deprem \u00fcretir. Bal\u0131kesir, Burhaniye, Edremit&#8217;te 6.2 ile 6.7 aras\u0131nda deprem \u00fcretir. Burada in\u015faat yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n zaman en az 7.3&#8217;l\u00fck depreme dayan\u0131kl\u0131 \u015fekilde statik projeyi tasarla dememiz gerekiyor&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 deprem \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmaz&#8221;<br \/>\nBal\u0131kesir ve Marmara&#8217;n\u0131n g\u00fcneyi \u00f6zelinde de\u011ferlendirmelerine devam eden Ercan, &#8220;10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Bal\u0131kesir ilinden s\u00f6z ediyorum. Bal\u0131kesir ili y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 bir deprem g\u00f6r\u00fcrse benim i\u00e7in \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmaz. Bal\u0131kesir ilinde, 35 y\u0131lda bir depremin yenileme zaman\u0131d\u0131r. Bu her 35 y\u0131lda bir olacak anlam\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmaz. Bazen depremlerin durgunluk y\u0131llar\u0131 vard\u0131r. Elli y\u0131l, y\u00fcz y\u0131l olmaz deprem. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc gerginlik birikmediyse k\u0131r\u0131lma olmaz. K\u0131r\u0131lma olmazsa deprem olmaz. 7.5 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki bir depremde 72 y\u0131lda bir olur. \u015eimdi burada sizin de \u00e7ok iyi bildi\u011finiz bir &#8216;koca zelzele&#8217; diye bilinen 1897 ya da 1878 y\u0131l\u0131nda Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in i\u00e7inde olan bir deprem var. Bunun b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 7. \u015eimdi \u015f\u00f6yle k\u0131saca bir bakal\u0131m. \u00d6nc\u00fc deprem oldu\u011fundan halk deprem oluyor diye d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6l\u00fcm say\u0131s\u0131 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olmu\u015ftur deprem. Bu depremde 51 tane ev y\u0131k\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 ki\u015fi \u00f6lm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. O zaman Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in n\u00fcfusu 30 bin ki\u015fidir. Bal\u0131kesir merkezden s\u00f6z ediyorum. N\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 1.7&#8217;si. \u00d6nc\u00fc depremin olmas\u0131 insanlar\u0131n evden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Son 127 y\u0131ld\u0131r Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;in merkezinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem g\u00f6zlenmedi. 127 y\u0131ld\u0131r Bal\u0131kesir i\u00e7i suskun. Ka\u00e7 y\u0131la kadar suskun olabilir? 250, 300 y\u0131la kadar da suskun olabilir. \u015eimdi sorunlu yerler, Plevne Mahallesi, Bah\u00e7elievler, G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00e7e\u015fme, Pa\u015faalan\u0131, \u00c7ay\u0131rhisar, Ay\u015febac\u0131, K\u00f6seler, Bosnac\u0131, Cengiz Topel, buralar\u0131n \u00e7ekincesi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. Burada yeralt\u0131 sular\u0131 olduk\u00e7a s\u0131\u011f, yerin ta\u015f\u0131ma g\u00fcc\u00fc \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Deprem dalgalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcr&#8221; dedi.<br \/>\nProf. Dr. Ercan s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle noktalad\u0131: &#8220;Bak\u0131n 2011 Van depremine gittim. 7.2 olmu\u015ftu. Arkada\u015flar Erzincan&#8217;da T\u00fcrk Ordusu, Van&#8217;a sadece 3 saatte gelmi\u015fti. 3 saatte b\u00fct\u00fcn deprem b\u00f6lgesine el koydu. G\u00fcvenli\u011fine el koydu. Ne olur biliyor musunuz g\u00fcven olmazsa, gitmezseniz k\u0131sa bir zamanda gitmezseniz ne olur biliyor musunuz? Oradan kurtulan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7ocuklar olur, sahip \u00e7\u0131kan olmaz k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7ocu\u011fa. Annesi babas\u0131 i\u00e7eride. Gen\u00e7 k\u0131zlar, gen\u00e7 erkekler \u00e7\u0131kar anne baba yok i\u00e7eride. Ya da biri kurtuldu \u00e7ocu\u011fu orada. Anneler b\u00f6yle g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn alt\u0131na kalan \u00e7ocuklar\u0131 i\u00e7in enkaza sar\u0131l\u0131yor arkada\u015flar. Saatlerce \u00e7ocu\u011fum i\u00e7eride diye a\u011fl\u0131yor, ba\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor, gelin kurtar\u0131n diye. Bunlar ya\u015fand\u0131 ve ya\u015fanacak. Yani dolay\u0131s\u0131yla savc\u0131 gidemiyor hemen. Ama devletin g\u00fcvenilir en b\u00fcy\u00fck unsuru kimdir? Ordu. Ordu, t\u0131pk\u0131 eskiden oldu\u011fu gibi, el atmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ba\u015fka \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yolu yok bu i\u015fin. Afet y\u00f6netimi b\u00f6yle olur.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bal\u0131kesir B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen Bal\u0131kesir D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm Kongresi&#8217;nde konu\u015fan Deprem Bilimci Prof. Dr. \u00d6vg\u00fcn Ahmet Ercan, &#8220;10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde Bal\u0131kesir&#8217;de y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 deprem \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtmaz&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2988,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[561,1],"tags":[531,591],"class_list":["post-2987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cevre","category-gundem","tag-balikesir","tag-deprem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2987"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2987\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2989,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2987\/revisions\/2989"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balikesirobjektif.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}